Study: Mortgages cost more for blacks, Hispanics
WASHINGTON — Black and Hispanic home buyers pay more for their mortgages than do whites, according to a Federal Reserve report released Friday.
WASHINGTON — Black and Hispanic home buyers pay more for their mortgages than do whites, according to a Federal Reserve report released Friday.
New Jersey Mortgages -September 28, 2006—(MCT)—Houston-based Stewart Title Guaranty Co. illegally channeled payments to home builders and lenders in exchange for steering their title business to the firm, California Insurance Commissioner John Garamendi alleged in a formal accusation Monday.
Garamendi is seeking millions of dollars in penalties, saying the company engaged in the practice from 1999 to 2005. Last year the insurance commissioner won $37.8 million in fines and penalties against nine title insurers after leveling similar accusations.
Calling the practice a kickback, Garamendi said it forces consumers to pay higher prices for title insurance.
In a statement Monday, Stewart Title said the state of California hasn’t issued clear guidance and said its practices meet guidelines of the U.S. Department of Housing and Urban Development. The company called Garamendi’s allegations “the result of a misunderstanding of Stewart’s business.”
The commissioner said Stewart gave up to 50 percent of its title insurance premiums to “shell companies” created by home builders and lenders that steered the title business its way.
The commissioner said participants included Folsom-based Elliott Homes Inc. and several national home builders and mortgage companies. Elliott Homes could not be reached for comment.
Garamendi’s office said Stewart has approximately 15 days to respond to the accusation. The matter eventually will be decided by the state Office of Administrative Hearings unless it is settled earlier.
Stewart said Monday it has met with representatives of the commissioner’s office “and is providing additional information to overcome these allegations.”
Copyright 2006, The Sacramento Bee, Calif.
Distributed by McClatchy-Tribune Business
September 27, 2006—(MCT)—At a pace that some analysts described as ‘astonishing,’ the price of existing homes declined nationally for the first time in 11 years in August, signaling that the long-awaited other shoe has finally dropped on the real estate market.
Home sales have been slowing for months but sellers appeared to be holding out to get their price. Now the pressure to sell is intensifying, leading to a drop in house values across the country.
In the Chicago region, prices stayed flat for the month, meaning that the average homeowner missed out on appreciation. But analysts see price declines hitting the area soon as anxious sellers give in to the trend and lower their asking prices.
Economists worry about the housing slump’s ripple effects. Even as the boom began to wind down last year the housing market probably contributed about $2 trillion to the U.S. economy, according to the National Association of Realtors. One estimate from Goldman Sachs predicts that the slowdown will cut 1.5 percentage points from the nation’s economic growth in 2007.
The Realtors’ association reported that the median price for existing single-family homes nationwide slipped 1.7% from last August, the first such decline since April 1995. It also was the second-biggest decline in the 38 years the Realtors have gathered sales data.
“It’s pretty amazing how fast the reversal has occurred since last year,” said David Stiff, chief economist at Fiserv CSW, a property-data analysis firm in Boston.
“There has never been such a quick deceleration in price appreciation,” Stiff said. “I was looking at data from 1969 forward, and it’s unprecedented.”
Illinois home prices, which had declined incrementally in June and July, dropped 1.9% in August, to $210,900 from $214,900, according to the Illinois Association of Realtors.
The nine-county Chicago region avoided price depreciation, and condo prices inched up 3.4%.
But there is no denying that the slowdown is taking a toll. Chicago-area sales in August were down nearly 21% from last year, while condo sales were off 11%.
During the lull the inventory of homes for sale has grown about 40% from last August. Local realty executives say sales will pick up when more sellers cut their asking prices to more realistic levels.
“It’s a transitional market, and the sooner we get out and make 1/8price3/8 adjustments, the better,” said James Merrion, regional director of Re/Max Northern Illinois in Elgin.
“Too many sellers got greedy,” he said. “Prices have to come down.”
Not so, said Tommy Gentile, who has been trying to sell his five-bedroom home in west suburban Montgomery for about six months. He has reduced the price by $20,000, to about $380,000, leaving little wiggle room.
“That price is pretty close to rock-bottom, as far as money we’ve put into it,” Gentile said of the house, bought two years ago. “We have to get our money back because we’ve bought another house, and we’re remodeling that one. We have two mortgages.”
Few people are coming to take a look, Gentile said. Between competition from home builders offering incentives to close out developments and about 10 neighbors who also have their homes for sale, it’s a struggle to attract interest.
Nationally, the Realtors said total sales slipped 12.6% from August 2005.
Though the numbers were slightly better than anticipated, it was still the slowest rate since January 2004.
Ian Shepherdson, chief economist at High Frequency Economics in Valhalla, NewYork, said the national price news probably was worse than reported.
“We estimate that seasonally adjusted single-family home prices have fallen at a 5.9 percent annualized rate in the past three months,” Sheperdson said. “The speed of the collapse has been astonishing. This time last year single-family homes were up 16.4 percent, year over year.”
David Lereah, chief economist for the National Association of Realtors, predicted that though prices aren’t done sliding, “we have reached bottom in terms of sales, or close to it.”
“Prices are going to continue to go down for the remaining months of the year,” he said.
“For some areas, like south Florida and California, it’s going to take a lot longer, but for most areas, starting in 2007, prices will be up just a little,” he said.
Others see it taking longer.
“With inventory still rising, there is no chance of any short-term relief,” said Shepherdson. “Prices and volumes have a long way to fall yet.”
Merrion said price cuts should continue, and then the market will right itself. “Where there’s a glut of inventory, you’re going to see fairly good-size price reductions of 5 to 10 percent,” said Merrion. “But it will be temporary and the market will catch up in a year or a year and a half.”
In the data released Monday some parts of the Chicago market saw increases in sales and prices.
Sales of all types of properties in Grundy County, for example, grew by an eye-popping 15%; most other counties’ increases, however, were far smaller.
Home sales in Cook, DuPage and Kane counties rose about 1 to 2%.
Bloomberg News contributed to this report
Copyright 2006, Chicago Tribune
Distributed by McClatchy-Tribune Business News.
Provided exclusively to The Mortgage Press by David Beadle, president of BestInfo Inc., the BestRates pager and e mail rate alert service for mortgage industry subscribers. Send your inquiry to bestrates@mortgagepress.com for full details on a free two-week trial subscription.
A reading of “1″ has the lowest impact on rates, while “10″ has the highest. Although carefully verified, data are not guaranteed as to accuracy or completeness. BestInfo Inc. cannot be held responsible for any direct or incidental loss or liability incurred by applying any of the information or opinions in this feature.
October 3
September Auto Sales
Rate Impact: 3
Ford Motor Company’s announcement in mid-September that it will be sharply and rapidly reducing production capacity was one more reminder of the changing face of the automobile manufacturing industry in this country. With 90 percent of so-called “foreign” cars now built here rather than shipped across the ocean, the situation has changed dramatically from what it was in previous decades. And with the computerization and robotics built into the new plants coming on line over the next few years, the days when assembly plants were staffed by legions of blue collar workers are rapidly disappearing. For analysts trying to read the economic tea leaves, a change is required to avoid misinterpretation of the inflation outlook. This will be partly due to the fact the high paying but low skilled jobs available in the last century are evaporating.
October 6
September Employment
Rate Impact: 9
With the FOMC scheduled to meet again on Oct.24 and 25, this will be the last employment report before the gathering. However, jobs may not be the focus for the Federal Open Market Committee. Instead, the members may be concentrating on the inflation outlook in light of the dramatic drop in energy prices which took place during September. It wasn’t merely gasoline. The price of natural gas plunged to a two-year low, and other home heating fuels followed suit in advance of the winter season. In addition, the government issued a preliminary long-range forecast calling for a milder winter across the northern tier of states due to the development of an El Nino weather system in the Pacific Ocean. If it has the expected impact, the result could be reduced demand combined with plentiful supplies. In short, a “perfect storm” of good news for those whose family budgets were literally crushed last year by brutal heating costs.
October 11
September FOMC Minutes
Rate Impact: 5
Here’s the key question: Does the Federal Open Market Committee believe consumers will spend the savings from lower gasoline and home heating bills, or will the cash be placed in piggy banks? The answer may determine the future direction of Fed interest rate policy. Unfortunately, the Fed may duck the question at the Sept. 20 meeting, which occurred only shortly after the gasoline price drop and before winter heating bills began to arrive. Therefore, we may have to wait until November or later for Fed officials to address the issue in their released meeting minutes. And there’s always the possibility that some adverse event such as a disruption of oil shipments may reverse the drop in prices, thereby rendering the matter moot in regard to gasoline and distillates such as diesel fuel, propane and home heating oil.
October 13
September Retail Sales
Rate Impact: 8
With vehicle sales having sunk in August from buoyant July levels, traders will observe whether or not they rebounded as clearance efforts accelerated with such tried and true measures as zero percent financing on some models. The outcome could have a significant impact on overall retail sales, which were disappointing during the back-to-school promotional period. Naturally, retailers are always looking for new ways to get shoppers through the door, and the latest development is the ever-earlier beginning to the holiday merchandise season. Just as back-to-school has back-tracked into early July, look for the promotional calendar for the December holidays to be skewed not only into October (which has already become a key shopping month), but into September as well. However, since the government’s surveys typically take place during the middle of a month, the impact is unlikely to show up in the federal statistics.
The Internet has influenced a structural shift in most real estate professionals’ marketing mix. Whether you work for an independent or branded residential agency, it is becoming increasingly difficult – and painful – to ignore marketing your firm or yourself on the Web. From personal Web sites to sophisticated search engine marketing programs, the sourcing of new business and clients is increasingly an online proposition.
What events are influencing this structural marketing shift?
Fueled by the average American’s thirst for information and scarcity of time, the Internet is where the action is today; in real time.
According to Search Engine Marketing, Inc., by Moran & Hunt (IBM Press 2006), total Web users surpassed the 300 million mark in 2004, with paid placement advertising generating nearly $3 billion in 2005 and expected to grow to $5.5 billion by 2009. Naturally, real estate professionals are among those turning to the Web as a source of new business in the form of lead generation.
Besides this volume of both bodies and dollars orbiting the Web, consider further that, according to the National Association of Realtors (NAR), more than 70% of those initiating the sale or purchase of a home begin doing so online. As of 2006, 72% of all Internet users in the United States have the use of broadband to access the Internet, according to Neilsen/NetRatings. That’s 103 million Americans able to quickly view and download large graphics files such as photos and virtual tours available in over 930 MLS databases across the country.
With the maturity of the Internet and the genesis of third party lead generation Web sites, many agents and brokers are in a quandary as to which, if any, such vendors they should engage to increase their online marketing exposure.
That is not surprising. A recent Google search of real estate lead generation Web site search yielded 9.3 million results in just .36 seconds. From www.agentconnect.com to www.zillow.com, and everything in between, a vast labyrinth of Web sites and vendors await an agent’s search in cyberspace.
Eager to enroll real estate agents into their program for a fee with promises of robust, qualified, and exclusive leads, many of these vendors fall short of agent expectations for a variety of reasons – not all of which are the vendors’ fault.
So, what is an Internet or e-commerce lead anyway?
Well, let’s consider what a lead is in the first place. According to the Merriam-Webster Online Dictionary, a lead or prospect is a potential buyer or customer.
Chad Pinson, managing director of contact referral Web site HomePoint.com (www.homepoint.com), states a qualified real estate lead is a consumer who:
• is likely to retain professional assistance from a real estate agent,
• is qualified to consummate a real estate transaction because the consumer is:
o Ready - Will make a purchase or sale decision within 12 months of initial contact
o Willing - Either wants to, is compelled to, or must do the transaction
o Able - Has the legal and financial capacity to consummate the transaction.
With regard to the Internet and e-commerce then; what is a lead?
Many agents who enroll in online referral programs such as www.HomeGain.com, www.RealEstate.com, www.HouseValues.com, www.HomePoint.com, and others are under the impression – rightly or wrongly, depending on the vendor’s sales force – that every referral from such programs is a qualified lead.
This is not necessarily so. Some programs offer pre-screened, qualified leads, but many do not.
For instance, www.Lead2Realty.com prescreens subscribers’ leads, and charges between $30 and $70 per lead, depending upon whether the lead is a buyer, seller, or combined buyer and seller. More often, such referral programs generate potential leads in the form of contacts. A contact exists when a search engine such as Google, Yahoo!, AOL, and MSN is queried by a searcher for real estate topics such as sell a house in Green Bay, or Buy a home in Denver.
Through these search engines, a potential client (the searcher) identifies and visits a Web site included among the search results to screen properties and consider real estate agents to list a home for sale or to assist in the purchase of a home. Typically, these Web sites require the searcher to enter contact information in order to gain access to the MLS database available through the given vendor’s site. The operative term here is contact information, not lead information.
While it may seem a matter of semantics, the difference between contact and lead information significantly affects the value of the referral. A contact does not become a lead until some reliable system or some knowledgeable party qualifies the lead as described above. This is where many referral program Web sites disappoint their subscriber agents. They call contacts, leads, which sets an unrealistic or false expectation for the subscriber agent. So, when the agent subscriber responds to an e-mail lead referral and follows up with the potential client, only to be advised by the person that they just wanted to see what homes are selling for in their neighborhood and are not presently in the market, the agent subscriber is disappointed and often perceives the referral service as a poor resource for new lead generation.
Most such Web sites also generate their fair share of bogus leads that occasionally slip through quality control screening. Some are both creative and humorous. For example, one service recently received a home seller request for assistance from a ‘Hugh Afner’ of Lake Shore Drive in Chicago. A customer service representative called the contact’s phone number in Chicago and was directed to Hugh Hefner’s personal assistant at the Playboy Mansion in Los Angeles. Needless to say, Hefner had not inquired about listing his property for sale on the referral site. Clearly, when such bogus leads reach an agent, they further diminish the perceived overall value of all real estate referral program Web sites.
Now, two key agent issues are presented by the contact versus lead scenario described above. First, how to overcome the disappointment associated with the lead, not contact, expectation set by the referral program Web site. Second, the dilemma of what the agent should do with a given contact. Is this person a waste of an agent’s time, or is he or she a potentially premature lead in need of nurturing and/or a source of additional referral business?
Let’s address the lead expectation issue first. As any savvy real estate agent knows, the sales industry is a numbers game. They know that their performance is a function of their arduous farming, direct marketing, networking efforts, and also their hustle and intelligence. Based on these painstaking and enduring efforts, top agents consistently outperform their peers because they know they need to engage X number of client suspects, to convert them to Y client prospects, to convert them to Z clients, to convert them to revenue-generating transactions. Given this funnel, it may seem that contacts would be a reasonable starting point for generating leads. Does it make sense for agents to view all the people they meet in person as contacts and/or potential leads and clients?
Most agents don’t strongly believe that everyone they meet or who crosses their path will become a client, but most good agents treat everyone as though they might become a client. This is often true whether that person has articulated a real estate need or not. As such, wouldn’t the “contact” that searched a given Web site’s property database have expressed a known curiosity about real estate activity in a given neighborhood? And if that given neighborhood is in a subscriber agent’s primary trade area, shouldn’t they be entered in that agent’s customer relationship management (CRM) database so as to be further engaged by that agent? By so doing, a savvy agent can expand their contact base by adding a client suspect who has knowingly expressed an interest in that agent’s trade area. By adding a qualified “suspect” to your CRM database, you have increased the number of suspects from which future clients will be drawn.
Bonnie Cox, a 28-year industry veteran and a broker with RE/MAX Masters in Denver, Colorado notes the importance of staying in contact with as large a group of consumers as possible. Her contact system has helped her close over 80 transactions in the last two years.
Bonnie explains that, “When you (agent) receive an Internet lead, consider it the beginning of a long-term relationship … while most buyers appreciate a brief contact during the initial relationship building period, they will almost certainly want to do much of the property research on their own.” Following the initial Internet contact and follow up, Bonnie “immediately enrolls the prospective buyer in her newsletter and monthly ‘drip’ marketing program.” According to Bonnie, that prospect will now have two monthly automated contacts in the form of the newsletter and “drip” e-mail marketing campaign.
Using the Internet to take a longer-term view on prospecting seems counterintuitive.
The Internet is known as a real-time, get-the-information-fast and make-it-happen-now medium. It clearly is a mechanism for doing so. However, according to an independent study by Hebert Research of Bellevue, Washington (commissioned by www.HouseValues.com), sellers take an average of nine months researching and pondering the issues surrounding the sale of their home before listing and selling their property. Sellers conduct pre-research for 5.5 months, active research for 1.4 months, and take 2.4 months actually selling the home. Conversely, the study says that buyers take nearly 17 months from the time they first contemplate purchasing a home before actually consummating the purchase. Buyers conduct pre-research for 7.1 months, active research for 5.5 months, and spend 4.1 months actually finding, negotiating, and closing the purchase.
In traditional real estate prospecting, agents tend to focus on listing and buyer representation prospects during the selling and buying phases identified in the Hebert Research report, that is, the three-month period for sellers, and the four-month period for buyers. Agents tend to focus on these two areas because: 1) as commission-only salespeople, agents must focus on the short term, and 2) prior to the Internet, it was very difficult to identify prospects in the pre and active stages of real estate research. While the Internet hasn’t done much to change the agent’s compensation plan, it has significantly increased the likelihood that an agent can both identify and engage a potential prospect in the pre and active research stage. But this is where technology and historic industry culture tend to clash.
So, how can agents change their short-term focus to engage more prospects earlier in the sales cycle? The answer is to embrace change intelligently, and to reduce the pain associated with such change.
Agent focus in a new market
Agents need to ask the right questions of agent referral network providers, recognizing the value of a good contact, and converting good contacts to leads at the appropriate time. For example, ask a referral network sales representative the following: Who is considered a lead – anyone entering data in your system’s Web site while viewing properties? Or, are leads those who request more detailed property information or agent assistance? Are a given referral network providers’ contacts pre-qualified? If so, what does that process entail? What questions are asked of their Web site visitor?
Besides qualifying the contacts provided, agents should probe further to understand how the contacts are distributed to the referral providers’ subscribers. Are leads distributed simultaneously to multiple agent subscribers, who then compete for the given contact’s business? Are they considered exclusive to one agent subscriber per geographic territory, such as a ZIP code? If so, is there a time-sensitive component to the exclusivity?
Many referral network providers recognize that Internet searchers are impatient; studies show they must be contacted quickly to be converted to a qualified lead. This is true even if the contact is engaged early in the sales cycle as described above. In 2005, more than 70% of consumers utilized the Internet before making a real estate decision, and half of those concluded business with the first agent with whom they made contact, according to the National Association of Realtors. As such, many contacts are exclusive for specific periods of time, and will be sent to another agent subscriber if the first agent subscriber does not respond within a given timeframe.
In closing, the Internet and real estate referral network providers are now an established and recognized source of new business in residential real estate. Now, it is up to agents to convert contacts to leads, leads to clients, and clients to revenue¬-generating transactions. One possible first step is for agents to subscribe to quality e-commerce real estate referral programs, and manage their lead expectations.
Kyle Cascioli is an Adjunct Professor of Real Estate in the Burns School of Real Estate, part of the Daniels College of Business at the University of Denver. He is also Manager of Real Estate Services at HomePoint.com (www.homepoint.com), a consumer-centric real estate Web site that provides vendor, marketing, and agent-referral services in selected markets across the United States.
Cascioli is also the broker-owner of Barrett Associates, Inc., a member of the National Association of Realtors, the Colorado Association of Realtors, and the Aurora Board of Realtors.
Warning comes after U.S. homebuilding suffered its biggest slump in a decade.
International Monetary Fund has warned.
The result may be a violent reaction across the globe if prices slump and an economic downturn emerges, the Washington, D.C.-based organization explained in its recently-released bi-annual Financial Stability Report.
The warning comes after U.S. homebuilding suffered its biggest slump in a decade with unsold houses reaching record numbers.
The “unexpected resilience” of global growth in recent years has led many investors to become complacent, the IMF warned. As a result, “international financial markets could undergo more severe corrections.”
Among other looming dangers are the “intensification of inflation” and a “disorderly” slide in the dollar.
Countries such as Britain have thus far seen only “limited” deceleration in house prices, despite higher interest rates, the IMF said.
That was confirmed by a government report that showed British property prices rose 6pc in July, the fastest pace in 14 months.
Copyright 2006, Daily Mail, London
National home price appreciation is expected to remain relatively flat for the future
The National Association of Home Builders (NAHB) told Congress that the current downswing in home sales and housing production following the record housing boom of 2004-2005 is expected to bottom out around the middle of next year and gradually move back up toward trend by late 2008.
Testifying before the Senate Economic Policy and Housing and Transportation Subcommittees, NAHB chief economist David Seiders said that while the housing downswing still has some distance to go, “various economic and financial market fundamentals figure to be supportive of housing demand for the foreseeable future.”
These fundamentals include the following:
• Payroll employment is proceeding at a decent and sustainable pace.
• Household income growth is strengthening as the economic expansion proceeds.
• The interest rate structure is favorable, mortgage credit is readily available and monetary policy has stabilized following a long run of upward rate adjustments.
• Energy prices have receded from record highs earlier this year.
Seiders also told lawmakers there are several downside risks to the housing and economic outlook he presented. These include the possibility of spikes in interest rates or energy prices, a large resale of homes back onto the markets by investors/speculators and uncertainties regarding the size of the inventory overhang in the market for new homes.
There also are considerable uncertainties about the impacts on consumer spending from a fading housing wealth effect as well as from the impacts of “payment shock” on home owners facing upward adjustments to monthly payments on “exotic” types of adjustable-rate mortgages (ARMs).
The record housing starts and sales of the past two years were well above levels supportable by demographics and other fundamental demand factors, and were fueled to a great extent by investors and speculators seeking to make a quick profit and through the surge of unconventional ARMs, according to Seiders.
“In retrospect, it was the finance- and price-driven acceleration of buying for homeownership and for investment that drove housing market activity into unsustainable territory during the boom,” he said.
After posting double-digit gains during the past two years, national home price appreciation is expected to remain relatively flat for the foreseeable future. “Indeed, some decline is a distinct possibility, and the rate of price appreciation should remain below trend for some time,” said Seiders.
NAHB’s forecast has a cumulative shortfall of housing starts of roughly 400,000 units from the middle of this year through the end of 2008, in line with the estimated excess supply generated during the recent boom period.
And while the current downswing in home sales and housing production will continue to detract from overall economic growth through mid-2007, Seiders said that much of this negative impact should be offset by strengthening activity in other sectors of the U.S. economy (spending on capital equipment and software, nonresidential structures and exports).
Source: National Association of Home Builders
The scenario is all too familiar. A person claims to be from a mortgage company and requests credit reports and other information to conduct business. On the surface, everything seems OK. However, upon closer inspection, we find that the firm is bogus. It is being operated out of a run-down office being rented by the hour. Unless steps are taken, the fake company will gain access to sensitive data that could be used to perpetrate scams and identity theft that could cost unwary consumers millions of dollars.
To prevent this kind of fraud and protect valuable data, credit reporting companies have been required to conduct physical inspections of properties and verifications of business licenses. New repository requirements enacted late last year have shifted responsibility for inspections to third-party vendors.
Protecting information is vital
While physical inspections and verifications are seen by some in our industry as time consuming and bureaucratic, such actions play a vital role in ensuring greater security for the data we provide. Loose handling of credit reports, improper disposal practices and password sharing are major security issues. We must ensure that we are not providing credit files and other information to businesses that are not legitimate. In fact, we must take very seriously our responsibility to scrutinize end users and educate them in the proper procedures for handling sensitive credit reporting data.
Starting on Nov. 1, 2005, the three major credit repositories (Equifax, TransUnion and Experian) began to require third-party vendors to perform inspections rather than relying on credit reporting agencies. Every credit reporting firm must use the same handful of vendors. Technically, we cannot allow a client to pull its first credit report until a physical inspection is completed - a responsibility we should all take very seriously.
Origins in FCRA
The question, of course, is, “How did we come to need physical inspections in the first place?” A partial answer can be found in the Fair Credit Reporting Act (FCRA), which was passed into law in 1970 and amended in 1994 and 2004. Section 607 of the FCRA says:
Every consumer reporting agency shall maintain reasonable procedures that require prospective users of information to identify themselves, certify the purposes for which the information is sought and certify that the information will be used for no other purpose. Every consumer reporting agency shall make a reasonable effort to verify the identity of a new prospective user and the uses certified by such prospective user prior to furnishing such user a consumer report.
Moreover, the widespread media attention regarding data breaches, identity theft, fraud and so on has caused great concern among consumers and legislators alike. Although the physical inspections done by third-party vendors, rather than the credit firms’ own employees, are not government mandated, the credit repositories are requiring them as added security. The credit bureaus want to make certain that current end-user sites are being thoroughly inspected to ensure compliance with FCRA. The ultimate goal, of course, is to protect the integrity of the data provided, and certifying the end user is the first step in doing that.
Along with obtaining a photo of the business taken by an approved third-party vendor, here are some of the requirements:
- For mortgage brokers in a residential space, the residence must be a house. A copy of the principal’s current driver’s license is required, as well as a copy of a broker’s license, business license, articles of incorporation, articles of partnership or federal or state ID tax certificate. A copy of the current lease of the business also is needed.
- For brokers or lenders in a commercial space, all of the above requirements apply. A copy of a real estate license can also be used.
- For branch offices of corporate accounts, there must be documentation showing either corporate approval or a copy of the broker’s license. If the license is not required by the state, then a copy of a business license, articles of incorporation, articles of partnership or federal or state ID tax certificate is required, as well as a copy of the current lease of the business.
Inspection volume requires follow-up
While physical inspections are necessary, timeliness of execution has become a concern. At present, there are only four physical inspection companies that are approved by the three credit repositories, and one of those companies is not taking any new clients because it is too busy. The fact is that none of the inspection companies were ready for the volume they experienced when this requirement was put in place. Although they are doing their best to accommodate the industry, these firms need to improve their efficiency and reduce turnaround times, and more companies need to be approved.
On occasion, requests for inspections have fallen through the cracks. Therefore, follow-up is necessary to make sure that a fax didn’t get misplaced or that a request is reassigned in the event that an inspector couldn’t get to it.
It is important, therefore, to work with a credit reporting company that has a compliance department in place to provide superior follow-up, support and keen attention to details when it comes to the approval process.
Fake inspection problems
Although speed is important, thoroughness is essential in the inspection process, and spot checks are absolutely vital. For example, Credit Plus recently ordered an inspection of a home-based company in Colorado. The inspection, performed by an accredited third-party vendor, came back complete with a photo of the premises. When the firm received an invoice for the inspection, it disputed the charge, saying that no one had been to its office. After further checking and doing our own inspection, we found that the inspector had never been there and that the photos were fake. We took our own photos and notified the inspection company of the fraudulent report. While this sort of thing is not common, it does happen occasionally, and third-party vendors and credit firms must do their best to remain vigilant and remedy problems when they arise.
As credit reporting professionals, we should all make a commitment to excellence and integrity in data security and the handling of highly sensitive information. Physical inspections serve an important purpose in safeguarding information and making the credit process work for everyone.
Consider this recent gloomy headline from USA Today: “Home sales sink; rates, inventory rise; expected Fed hikes lower expectations.”
Reading through the stacks of mortgage trade and national business papers on my desk, it’s easy to see why many potential homebuyers are confused about what to do and why a few originators may find this to be a discouraging market.
Interest rates have increased. There’s speculation that house prices in certain markets may be over-inflated. Rising prices on other goods, especially fuel, have impacted home-buying power.
But on the other hand, consumer confidence is up, jobless claims are down and our economy is growing. What’s the true picture? That depends on whom you ask.
I know firsthand the challenges that originators are facing in the market today, and I don’t take those challenges lightly. But with more than a few years in the business, I know one thing is for certain: It’s still a good time to buy a home.
For those of us on the front lines of communication with borrowers and referral partners, our mission should be to deliver this statement with confidence and help them put all of this competing information in perspective.
Let’s examine three of the most-discussed topics in the mortgage business today - interest rates, originations and housing bubble speculation.
Interest rates
For those of us with a few decades’ worth of mortgage banking experience, we know that despite the modest rate increases we’ve seen lately, rates are still at historical lows. Granted, they’re not as low as in 2003 and 2004, but can you remember where we ended the year 2000, the early 90s, or worse, the 80s, when rates approached 20 percent?
It may help to look at a snapshot of the past couple decades. This data is taken from Freddie Mac’s Primary Mortgage Market Survey and represents the annual average for a 30-year fixed-rate mortgage.
Year Average Rate
1975 9.05
1980 13.74
1985 12.43
1990 10.13
1995 7.93
2000 8.05
2005 5.86
2006* 6.70
*as of June 2006
Where will rates go for the rest of 2006? Here’s a recent statement from the Mortgage Bankers Association (MBA): “We project that mortgage rates will rise from the current level of about 6.6 percent to about 6.9 percent by the end of the year.” (Source: Mortgage Finance Commentary #13, June 7, 2006)
How do we translate this for skittish or hesitant borrowers? “Now is a better time to buy than in December.”
Originations
The MBA also predicts that total originations for this year will decline by 18 percent from 2005. But in the theme of keeping it in perspective, 2006 will experience the fifth-highest level of originations ever. Last year, we saw the second-highest level, while 2003 ranked as our industry’s top-producing year to date.
With rising rates, it’s likely that refi originations will also take a substantial short-term hit. Looking ahead over the next few years, however, it’s probable that refi origination activity will rebound somewhat, as a portion of adjustable-rate loans will be refinanced into fixed-rate mortgages when borrowers face their first payment resets.
About housing bubbles
Recent information released by the National Association of Realtors suggests that home price gains are moderating or normalizing in many markets. This is to be expected.
For example, the median price of a single-family home is now approximately $229,700 - an increase of 6.4 percent from a year ago.
It’s important to keep in mind that price appreciation of 10 to 12 percent per year is neither sustainable nor reasonable. According to the Office of Federal Housing Enterprise Oversight, home price appreciation has slowed to an annualized 8.1 percent rate in the early part of 2006.
And what about the looming speculation that many markets are poised to collapse?
According to PMI Mortgage Insurance, only a small handful of major metro areas (13) face a 50 percent or greater chance of a housing price correction in the next two years. While that does not diminish the concerns of residents in those specific markets (eight of the 13 are in California), it doesn’t seem prudent to make sweeping national housing bubble forecasts based on only 13 markets, especially while areas in Texas, North Carolina and New Mexico, for example, are actually reporting double-digit growth.
What lenders are doing
Most lenders understand what products drive this market, and we’re listening to you to determine which new products will effectively meet your borrowers’ needs. We have our ears tuned to leading economic indicators, and we’re working to roll out products that will deliver strong returns over the long term.
One trend you’ll continue to see is a focus on more affordability products: longer amortization periods, interest-only loans with fixed rates and newly revised option ARMs with added borrower safeguards.
We’ll also continue to arm you with effective marketing tools to educate customers on all of the latest product options and help them understand why it’s still a good time, in the grand scheme of things, to invest in real estate.
It’s true that the last few years in our industry have been exceptional. It’s unlikely we’ll see a return to the levels of purchase and refi originations we saw in 2003 and 2004. But put in its proper perspective, the market we have now is still one of the best, historically.